|
EJASA - Part 2Page 1 PREFACE This paper is about the Search For Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI) in the Optical Spectrum. It is a revisit of suggestions which for various reasons have yet to be accepted by the majority of the SETI community. This document does not address the usual controversial aspects about SETI, such as Fermi's Paradox, i.e., "Where are they?" and the arguments of Frank Tipler. [20,39] We shall also not discuss exotic forms of radiation, such as X-rays, gamma rays, neutrinos, and gravitational waves. This paper deals primarily with the superiority of interstellar optical beamed communications over their microwave counterparts. In general, the concept of SETI is "sold" on the basis that electromagnetic waves are the cheapest (in energy cost) and fastest way to travel through deep space, and is the next best thing to actually being there. I tend to believe that interstellar travel by humans will be quite commonplace in the centuries to come, so that for myself there is the paradox (Kingsley's Paradox) of why communicate when it is possible to travel? It is perhaps useful to state from the start what are my basic beliefs, with the caveat that there is presently very little scientific evidence to support any of these speculative ideas. (a) The universe is literally crawling with life, some of this extra- terrestrial life being highly intelligent. (b) In general, extraterrestrials do not stay at home, but they do not leave the exploration and colonization of the galaxy to self- replicating von Neumann probes. [20] (c) Extraterrestrials find it easy to travel across the galaxy in near-relativistic or relativistic spaceships. (d) On the basis of (a), (b) and (c), it is likely that at least some of the so-called sightings of Unidentified Flying Objects (UFOs) do in fact relate to visitations from other worlds, and that Earth's history and the evolution of life on this planet may have been affected by such visits. (e) If (c) is not possible and von Neumann probes are not employed, then electromagnetic waves could be used by extraterrestrial civilizations to contact their counterparts in other stellar systems, particularly more primitive technological civilizations. (f) If (e) is occurring, then it is more likely that the optical region of the electromagnetic spectrum would be used, in preference to the microwave region. Note that there is of course, the possibility of radio or optical communications from von Neumann probes in our vicinity, both with us and with their home worlds. Perhaps the greatest difficulty that I Page 2 have with electromagnetic SETI is my long-held belief in what has come to be known as the "Cosmic Zoo", which is related to idea (c). If we are indeed presently off-limits for "Contact" in any form, i.e., quarantined, searching for electromagnetic signals would be a waste of time, never mind the consideration as to whether there are a sufficient number of ETIs in the galaxy to make electromagnetic "Contact" probable. However, this study is restrictive in its terms of reference, as it only considers the relative efficacies of the microwave and optical approaches to electromagnetic SETI (f). For the sake of this discussion, we shall not make much of an attempt to resolve these other problems here. I would, however, make some observations. It has been a long and somewhat difficult road for SETI researchers to establish electro- magnetic SETI as a legitimate science. To some extent, for political reasons, they have had to strongly disassociate themselves from those who believe in UFOs. This somewhat artificial differentiation has been done to reduce the incidence of being labelled "crazy" by their more conservative colleagues and Members of Congress, and to maintain the rationale that electromagnetic interstellar communications is the cheapest form of travel. In reality, there is more common-ground between scientists who believe in UFOs and those that ascribe to SETI, than the latter might care to admit. To maintain otherwise is being intellectually dishonest, for both believe in "Aliens" or what are now more affection- ately referred to as "Extraterrestrials" (ETs). In the end, what one believes (as against what one knows and is scientifically proven) comes down to imagination, or the lack of. On the other hand, what one publicly admits to believing is quite another matter entirely. This involves other more down-to-earth considerations, like the fear of being ridiculed by colleagues and the scientific establishment. One only has to remember how the "keepers of the flame" recently reacted to the Cold Fusion work of Martin Fleischmann and Stanley Pons, to realize that the scientific establishment does not take too kindly to those would dare to "rock the boat" of conventional orthodoxy. Fortunately, the theory on Optical SETI given in Appendix A is based on long-established scientific principles, so this author should fare somewhat better. Three types of civilizations have been postulated by Kardashev for the development of "super civilizations". [4,13,25] A "Type I" civilization would be in a similar stage of development as Earth, having gained control of most of the energy sources on the planet of origin (about 4 X 10^12 W). A "Type II" civilization would have reached a level at which it controlled the energy output of its own sun (4 X 10^26 W). A "Type III" civilization would have gained control of the energy output of the entire galaxy (about 4 X 10^37 W). This paper really addresses the type of technology and energy sources available to Type I and Type II civilizations. Freeman Dyson has described how a Type II civilization might dismantle one of the larger planets in its solar system and build a shell completely Page 3 surrounding its sun. [25] A Type III civilization would hardly need to use microwave or optical technology for communications, and might consider us little more than we do ants. During the past eighteen months, I have been associated with Dr. Robert Dixon's SETI Group at Ohio State, and have had extensive communications with the SETI Institute at NASA's Ames Research Center in Moffett Field, California. My approach in revisiting this subject has not been the conventional one of publishing a paper or papers and waiting for the "penny to drop". Rather, because several noted researchers have published papers along similar lines over the past thirty years and have largely had their ideas rejected by their colleagues, I decided to try a somewhat different strategy: To take the SETI community by storm. The reader is assured that to the best of my knowledge, no laws of physics have been violated in this study. What is true, however, is that the human imagination has been stretched. This is not the first time, nor will it be the last, that the scientific community may have gone in the wrong direction because of mistaken assumptions. What I am doing is to seriously question present SETI lore, with due respects to Professors Philip Morrison, Frank Drake (President, SETI Institute), Carl Sagan, Dr. Bernard Oliver and the late I. Shklovskii, to name but a few. At first glance, the three decades old idea that ETI signals will be found in the quietest region of the electromagnetic spectrum seems reasonable. Thus, the 21-centimeter hydrogen (H) line and the region of the microwave spectrum between the H and lowest OH resonance lines (1.420 to 1.662 GHz), which has come to be known as the "waterhole", has become a favored "magic frequency". However, we may have been too clever by half in guessing the natural interstellar communication frequencies, and in assuming that ETIs will make it very easy for us to locate their signals. Perhaps our commitment to the search for ETI must be substantially increased before we are rewarded by success. Over the years, many science fiction writers have involved inter- stellar laser communications in their story lines. Indeed, in the 1990 SETI book, FIRST CONTACT [26], edited by Ben Bova and Byron Preiss, Ben Bova wrote a story involving Optical SETI called "Answer, Please, Answer". Interestingly, a recent edition of NEW SCIENTIST [45] which had an article about SETI, also contained a review of the new paperback issue of FIRST CONTACT and criticized it, suggesting that it was inappropriate to include this science fiction material. However, there may have been more truth in that story than in much of the rest of the book. Perhaps it is time again for scientists to take note of what science fiction writers have to say! FIRST CONTACT also contains a chapter (Chapter 9, "How to Participate in SETI", by Kent Cullers and William Alschuler) devoted to Amateur Microwave SETI, but it is not clear how many TVRO (TeleVision Receive Only) owners would wish to convert their satellite dishes for this purpose. In the microwave regime, amateurs would be competing with the "big boys", but in the optical regime they would be essent- ially on their own. The contribution that the amateur optical astronomy enthusiast can make in this area is described later. Page 4 What I do find slightly disturbing is that the popular literature on SETI usually says either nothing about the optical approach or dismisses it in a paragraph or two as being without merit. As far as I can recall, THE PLANETARY REPORT [17,21,37] has never discussed this approach. Even the latest PLANETARY REPORT article by Professor Paul Horowitz [37] fails again to mention the optical approach. Indeed, the Planetary Society has just launched an appeal with the help of film producer and director Steven Spielberg, to raise funds for support of the Harvard BETA (Billion-channel Extraterrestrial Assay) project. This system will eventually have six billion channels and is designed to have a channel resolution of 0.05 Hz. This trend in Microwave SETI channel resolution is directly opposite to the thrust of the Optical SETI rationale described herein, where minimum channel bandwidths of about 100 kHz are specified. Also, there appears to be misleading information in SETI books as to the visibility of electronically detectable signals and the efficacy of using Fraunhofer lines to increase signal contrast. It is almost as if no one had bothered to "crunch" the numbers properly. The fact that Fraunhofer lines have been previously thought to have a significant bearing on transmission frequencies in the visible regime, really arises from the assumption that ETIs lack the technical prowess to send us more than a few photons per second. Once that assumption is swept away, the increased contrast ratio produced by these stellar absorption lines become less significant, particularly in relation to the use of optical heterodyne receiving systems. [71-73] Microwave SETI researchers are looking for very weak narrow-band signals buried in noise, and require the use of signal processing algorithms like the Karhunen-Loeve Transform (KLT) presently being studied by Dr. Robert Dixon's SETI group at Ohio State [73,86]. The KLT is more effective than the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) in extracting non-repetitive pulses from noise-like data. I assume, that Optical SETI signals will be much stronger and of substantially increased bandwidth, and may not need to be processed in this manner. The ten-year duration, 100 million-dollar Microwave Observing Project (MOP) now just starting, dramatically extends the search space in the Microwave Cosmic Haystack. [40-45] As far as Visible Optical SETI is concerned, it would appear that scientists of the former Soviet Union have done most of the work in this area, though it represents but a tiny fraction of global modern-day SETI activities. If we confine ourselves to Visible Optical SETI for the moment, I make the following case that the sort of visible signal intensities which would allow modest-size telescopes to produce low-noise signals in moderate bandwidths are so weak that they would be easily missed by conventional optical astronomers. One just has to remember, that for over thirty years, SETI researchers have been scanning the skies for artificial extraterrestrial microwave signals in a systematic manner. So far they have failed to detect a confirmed artificial extra- terrestrial signal. What is the probability if such rare signals exist in the visible or near-infrared spectrum that optical astronomers would have accidently stumbled across them? Page 5 In early 1991, after "suggesting" that the SETI community should revisit the optical approach, I was invited to give a talk at the SETI Institute. This Optical SETI Revisited Colloquium took place in April of 1991. Prior to my NASA visit, I had concentrated my analysis on Professional Optical SETI and had given some thought to the optical equivalent of the Microwave Observing Project. Some of the signal processing ideas arising out of MOP will be transferable to the optical search. I was well-received by NASA, though there are certain members of the group who still hold to the view that the optical approach is useless, particularly at the high-frequency visible end of the spectrum. After my talk, Dr. John Billingham, Chief of NASA's SETI Office, invited me to present a paper at the Commission 51 Bioastronomy Conference of the IAU (International Astronomical Union), which is to be held in 1993, and have that paper printed in the journal ACTA ASTRONAUTICA. In recent years, NASA has supported a limited activity in SETI at 10,600 nm. However, its main thrust has always been Microwave SETI. For about five years, NASA has been supporting Charles Townes and Albert Betz in a low-level activity at the Carbon Dioxide (CO2) laser wavelength. This work has been "piggy-backed" onto a larger program for CO2 astrophysical research. They are using an interferometric system consisting of two infrared telescopes mounted on a trailer, with two phase-locked heterodyning CO2 local-oscillator lasers, nitrogen- cooled photodetectors, and a bandwidth of a few MHz. The observations are being conducted at Mount Wilson Observatory. The SETI aspect of this work is so low-key that I found some difficulty in obtaining details about this activity. Over the early part of the summer of 1991 while I was back home in England, I was able to convince myself that perhaps the concept of Amateur (visible and near-infrared) Optical SETI was not such an implausible idea. Over the past eighteen months, I have undertaken a substantial self-funded analysis of Professional and Amateur Optical SETI, of which this represents a brief summary. I would be interested in hearing from any major space/astronomy publication or organization that would like to approach me for an article, book, or talk, or any company which might be interested in a business relationship in this area. I have prepared a substantial illustrated viewgraph report on this subject, which the few ASCII text diagrams and graphs in this document can hardly do justice. I would be interested in producing an Optical SETI book accompanied with compiled versions of many of the spreadsheets that I have employed for these analyses. This would allow readers to do their own "what-if" analyses. The SETI Institute and NASA have been alerted that I will be going public about Professional and Amateur Optical SETI at this time, because of my gut feeling that there will be a surge of interest in this subject seldom seen during the thirty years of modern-day SETI. NASA might like to consider coordinating world-wide Amateur Optical SETI activities to avoid excessive duplication of searches on the same target stars. This would also present the opportunity to compare data to that obtained for the same stars with the Microwave Observing Project. Page 6 After digesting this material, some readers are bound to feel that what they have read they always knew, but were intimidated by the giants of the scientific community. Perhaps there is no field of human endeavor like SETI which involves so much speculation, where the citizen with a scientific background is just as qualified to speculate as the professional SETI scientist. The controversy over this approach is bound to rage for some time. Soon after I embarked on this study in June of 1990, I came to the conclusion that if this revisit of Optical SETI was to at last be given the attention it deserved, I would have to take a very different approach to getting the material published. It is fitting that this first publication of these ideas is being done via the electronic media, the computer networks which span the globe. It has been advantageous that it has also given me substantial space in which to delineate the full scope of my rationale in one go, without leaving too many gaps. Indeed, what started out as a small paper has turned into a mini-book. Who knows; perhaps ETIs in the future will intercept signal leakage from Earth's microwave satellite uplinks, read this document, or eavesdrop on terrestrial TV and radio transmissions, and have a chuckle (I assume that humor is more than a human trait): "Those crazy humans, if only they knew!". During the early formative part of my life, I owned a small refracting telescope and would spend many hours studying Earth's moon and the planets. It has been a long time since I possessed another telescope. Because I believe in putting my money where my mouth is, I am now impatient to put together my own Amateur Optical SETI Observatory. This paper has yet to be peer reviewed and the author is solely responsible for its contents. Readers are encouraged to check out the relationships used and the accuracy of the calculations. The rest is then a matter of opinion and imagination. Optical SETI investigations will probably take a lot of perseverance. In the grand tradition of American disclaimers, readers should note that I cannot accept responsibility for the lack of success in detecting ETI - ("Caveat emptor"!). Since I expect that there will be considerable reaction to this material, I therefore beg your indulgence if I do not presently reply or reply in detail to every personal message received in response, either by conventional mail, fax, or network E-mail. However, a personal response is assured through my own bulletin board system (BBS), which has been set up specifically to coordinate future world-wide Optical SETI activities. Simultaneously with the electronic publication of this document, I have established a BBS devoted to SETI in general, and Optical SETI in particular. More modem lines may be added later as interest warrants. The telephone number is (614) 258-1710 and supports all modem speeds up to 9600 baud. The BBS is dedicated to NASA and the late Gene Roddenbery, the latter having had a substantial influence on how I view the future. Many of the spreadsheets, diagrams and graphs - and there are many - that have supported the development of my rational, will eventually be made available via the bulletin board. For further details about this computer bulletin board, see the BBS information (Page ii) at the front. Page 7 The theoretical justification for the results and conclusions drawn in this paper has been relegated to Appendix A. In this way, those readers uncomfortable with scientific theory and mathematical relationships do not have to have wade through masses of equations. It is, of course, very difficult to be everything to all people. For this reason, I have compromised in this approach by keeping the theory as simple as possible, and have avoided the use of statistical analysis and calculus. For instance, the way that the signal-to-noise ratio of a detected optical signal varies with received photon flux, bandwidth, and signal integration time is exceedingly complex when the photon flux is weak, particularly if avalanche photodetectors are employed. There will be plenty of time later for this author and others to present a more rigorous approach to Optical SETI. This can be done in a variety of learned journals, such as IEEE's LIGHTWAVE TECHNOLOGY and TRANSACTIONS ON COMMUNICATIONS, or the IEE's ELECTRONICS LETTERS. The purpose of this document is to rekindle the debate between those who believe in the microwave approach to SETI and those who subscribe to the efficacy of the optical approach. An additional desire is to introduce my colleagues in the fiber-optics field to a rather exciting concept - an idea which dwarfs all the puny terrene "hero" long-distance demonstrations that large fiber-optics communication companies like to brag about from time to time. As actor Al Jolson used to say, "You ain't seen nothing yet!". I would like to acknowledge discussions and encouragement from various sources: Dr. Robert Dixon (Director, SETI Program) for a very professional reaction to what I had to say, despite having devoted decades of his SETI activities to the microwave search with "Big Ear". I also acknowledge Dr. Dixon's contribution in being given access to the educational and scientific network. In addition, I would like to thank Professor Charles Townes (University of California, Berkeley) for his helpful comments when this study was first started, recent E-mail discussions with his colleague Dr. Albert Betz, Professor Philip Morrison (MIT), and correspondence with Dr. John Rather (NASA-HQ). I would also acknowledge correspondence and discussions with Dr. Bernard Oliver, who in early November of 1990 sent me a copy of his Cyclops report, convinced that it would prove the case for the efficacy of the microwave approach. In my correspondence and discussions with Dr. Oliver, who is also known as the "grand old man" of SETI, I have not been able to shake his belief in the correctness of the microwave approach. So we have agreed to disagree over the relative merits of Microwave and Optical SETI. Over much of the past year and a half while the ideas were developing, I have interfaced with parts of the SETI community. There is some perception that my "lobbying" for the optical approach to SETI may already have had some effect on how those within NASA and the SETI Institute now view Optical SETI. At least, I have received rather "mixed signals" over the past eighteen months as to where the consensus lies, and there appears to have been some shift towards my position, though this may be a presumption on my part. Page 8 I would particularly like to acknowledge the professional courtesy and assistance given me by Dr. Jill Tarter (NASA SETI MOP Project, SETI Institute, U.C. Berkeley) and her staff at the SETI Institute, despite the fact that I may have "come on quite strong" in revisiting Optical SETI. I also thank Dr. Kent Cullers (Signal Detection Scientist, NASA) then of the SETI Institute, for his encouragement and for checking some of my calculations relating to Professional Optical SETI. I trust he will do the same, if he can draw himself away from MOP for a few hours, for my more recent computations relating to Amateur Optical SETI. Finally, I must acknowledge the considerable assistance of the SETI Institute's Robert Arnold (Research Assistant and Public Information) in providing me with much background information on SETI. I hope I do not give him too much of a headache when he has to deal with the surge in national and international interest in all forms of SETI which will probably result from this paper. It is highly likely that because of the Microwave Observing Project and this paper, 1992 is going to be the Year of SETI. Dr. Stuart A. Kingsley Columbus, Ohio December 24, 1991 Continued
|